Monday, 29 October 2018

UFC Fight Night: Moncton aftermath - what's next for the likes of Anthony Smith and Michael Johnson

The UFC returned after a three week break following UFC 229, heading to New Brunswick in Canada.

The headliner was a light heavyweight bout between Volkan Oezdemir and Anthony Smith, with Michael Johnson taking on Artem Lobov on short notice in the co-main.

South African Don Madge put on a performance of the night against highly-touted debutant Te Edwards, winning by a vicious head kick shortly into the second round.

Calvin Kattar returned following his first UFC loss against Renato Moicano to take on former Cage Warriors champion Chris Fishgold.

Liverpool's Fishgold went after Kattar for the first part of the opening round, before the American's jab started to wear on the UFC debutant and in turn leading to a first round stoppage.

Lightweight prospect Nasrat Haqparast took on Frenchman Thibault Gouti in the fight of the night, with Haqparast dominant against the tough Gouti.

Light heavyweight contender Misha Cirkunov got back into the win column with an impressive first round submission win over Patrick Cummins.

Anthony Smith


Smith was handed his second consecutive main event following his move up to light heavyweight and two finishes over former champions Rashad Evans and Shogun Rua.

A step up to face #2 Oezdemir, the Swiss coming off a losing title shot back in January, beckoned as he continued his rapid ascent in the light heavyweight rankings.

It was a matchup between two relatively untested contenders, purely in terms of fight time.

'No Time' picked up a decision win over Ovince Saint Preux in his UFC debut, before his next two bouts lasted a combined 70 seconds in knockout wins over Cirkunov and Jimi Manuwa.

He was then suddenly in the title picture and took on Daniel Cormier for the belt at UFC 220, but was generally outclassed before being finished in the second round.

Similarly, since his move up to light heavyweight, Smith took a total of 142 seconds to see of Evans and Rua before his matchup with Oezdemir.

In Moncton, Oezdemir started strongly and was likely two rounds up, with leg kicks looking to be having an impact on Smith.

However, midway through the third round Oezdemir looked to have tired and Smith took advantage by easily taking the Swiss down, before working to an eventual rear naked choke to chalk up his third finish in three fights at light heavyweight.

So what is next for Smith?

Many, including himself, have called for a title shot against the winner of Jon Jones and Alexander Gustafsson for a few reasons.

One, he was just submitted the number 2 ranked fighter in the division and consistent finishes are always a good route to a title shot.

Two, Smith is a proven finisher even in the UFC and is 7-2 in the promotion and 14-2 in his last 16.

He is also a very well-spoken guy and he has cut strong promos in his last two post-fight interviews.

Personally, despite all that, I feel he needs at least one more win before a title shot.

Admittedly he has just beaten the #2 Oezdemir, but there are other options in the title picture.

#3 Jan Blachowicz is on an impressive four fight winning streak, with his last two wins over Nikita Krylov and Manuwa particularly impressive.

#6 Dominick Reyes is also on a four fight win streak in the UFC and is 10-0, but the argument could be made that his last win, a decision over OSP, was his first top win.

Two top contenders, #4 Ilir Latifi and #7 Corey Anderson, are matched up for UFC 232 and are both on two fight winning streaks.

A title eliminator of sorts should probably be next for Smith, against one of Blachowicz, Reyes or winner of Latifi-Anderson.

A strong win over Manuwa for Thiago Santos could also set up a rematch between the Brazilian and 'Lionheart'.

Volkan Oezdemir


Following a breakout year in 2017, No Time has not had a good time in 2018 thus far.

He has lost both his bouts this year, a title fight against Cormier and now against Smith.

My rankings prediction would be that Smith would rise to #4 and Oezdemir drop to #5.

Manuwa has previously suggested that he is keen to rematch the Swiss striker, and the winner of the Englishman versus Santos could make for a viable next outing.

Reyes is another name who would match up well with Oezdemir and taking the 0 from Reyes' record would be a good way for the 29-year-old to get back on track.

Given that he is now on a two fight losing streak, a lower ranked opponent could also be next, like Manuwa has had to contend with in Santos.

Another man who would like to avenge his swift defeat at the hands of No Time is Cirkunov and now that the Canada-based 31-year-old is back in the win column, a rematch with Oezdemir is more likely.

Michael Johnson 


A rough start to his featherweight career saw the Menace suffer a second round defeat to Darren Elkins in St Louis at the start of the year.

He returned to winning ways with a decision win over Andre Fili just two months previously and repeated that result against Lobov on Saturday.

Despite his record, Johnson is top tier fighter as evidenced by his run at lightweight and is now looking to make a similar splash down at featherweight.

In his post-fight interview, the 32-year-old said he was not bothered about a full camp and instead wanted a quick turnaround, targeting the Adelaide card at the start of December as his next destination.

One man who that may be of interest to is Aussie Alex Volkanovski, currently ranked #11 in the division, who is currently not booked.

Volkanovski has gone 5-0 in the UFC so far and made his rankings debut off the back of a decision win over Elkins back in July.

This is a perfect matchup, with Volkanovski getting another top test in his home country and Johnson getting a chance to break into the rankings and into contention with a win over a man on a 15 fight win streak.

Given that Johnson explicitly called for a spot on the Adelaide card and is essentially now looking for a ranked opponent, it would be somewhat of a surprise and a definite disappointment if this fight is not made.

Calvin Kattar


Kattar mentioned in his post-fight interview that his fight with Fishgold was the last on his contract, so a next bout isn't guaranteed.

But it definitely should be.

The 30-year-old is a pleasure to watch and has put on some strong performances in his four UFC outings thus far, only dropping a decision to #4 Moicano.

He went into the bout with the Brazilian ranked #13 but has since slipped out of the top 15 following that defeat.

Therefore, a ranked opponent would be deserved and would make sense for Kattar's next outing.

In terms of the current rankings and those without a fight booked, #14 Zabit Magomedsharipov is closest to Kattar and is in need of a step up in competition.

Jeremy Stephens and Cub Swanson, currently ranked at #6 and #7 respectively, could be too highly ranked for Kattar's next fight but could easily be potential matchups for Kattar if he picks up another win.

Finally, the upcoming matchup between #12 Ricardo Lamas and #13 Darren Elkins could well yield Kattar's next opponent, depending on the result and respective turnarounds.

Wednesday, 3 October 2018

The arduous search for a main event for UFC 230 at Madison Square Garden

MSG - Middleweight Square Garden?


A string of confirmed and rumoured middleweight bouts came up in quick succession, with the matchups giving almost a tournament-like feel in terms of the effect the results would have on the division.

The early confirmations included recent title challenger Yoel Romero facing off against destructive up-and-comer Paulo Costa, unbeaten striker Israel Adesanya versus Derek Brunson and Jacare Souza facing off with David Branch.

A rematch between former champions Chris Weidman and Luke Rockhold was rumoured and later officially announced, before Romero pulled out from his fight against Costa.

While initially targeted for UFC 231, the possibility of Robert Whittaker defending his title against Kelvin Gastelum at MSG a month earlier were immediately out the window due to the Australian's hand injury.


A new 165lbs division?


The big news came when the much-anticipated return of Nate Diaz was announced, with Dustin Poirier named as his opponent.

However, despite the fanfare around the comeback of Diaz and the fight of the year potential with the Diamond, it was initially announced as the co-main event.

The drama continued at the 25 year anniversey press conference where Diaz, who turned up late, got up and left as the promo for the newly-announced Khabib Nurmagomedov-Conor McGregor was played.

During the aftermath, Diaz tweeted that he would no longer be fighting at MSG, with Poirier following suit.


The drama was then reignited at the end of September when Diaz and Poirier claimed to confirm the rumours of an inaugural 165lbs title fight between the two, implying that it would be the main event.


The unorthodox social media double hype machine of the two continued a few days later, where Diaz yet again claimed to be dropping out of the fight, only for Poirier to chime in once more.


Interim light heavyweight title..?!


Further news that helped fuel additional main event-related rumours emerged just days before the latest Diaz-Poirier rumblings.

In what has since been left to being a simple coincidence, it was annocunced that Jon Jones would be free from suspension from the 28th October - just five days before UFC 230.

It seemed to be too perfect and a huge coincidence. One of the few (now) available 'draws' was suddenly back in the game.

While Daniel Cormier was quickly ruled out as a potential opponent for Jones' return, calls for an interim title fight with Alexander Gustafsson heightened.


However, despite the dates lining up, it was swiftly and vehemently denied by Dana White and subsequently rumoured for UFC 232 instead.

Gustafsson was reportedly keen to make the fight happen at MSG, but another rumoured opponent then surfaced for the Swede.

Despite pulling out from UFC 230 due to an eye injury, Yoel Romero emerged as a contender for the main event for an interim light heavyweight title showdown with the Mauler.

That has also effectively been quashed, with the rumours of a Jones-Gustafsson matchup at the end of the year taking apparent preference.

.... vacant women's flyweight title..?

Finally, the announcement was all but official. The main event of UFC 230 at Madison Square Garden. Would it be the return of Jon Jones? The birth of a new division? The return of a legend?

No, it would be #1 ranked women's flyweight Valentina Shevchenko against TUF alumni and #4 Sijara Eubanks.

It was not quite the level of main event many were hoping for, or indeed expecting.

Shevchenko was originally set to take on former strawweight champion Joanna Jedrzejczyk for the vacant title at 125lbs at UFC 231 in Canada, with Eubanks facing off against #9 Jessica Eye at UFC 232.

The belt was on the line at UFC 228, the event headlined by Tyron Woodley and Darren Till.

The implication was that the women's flyweight title was not enough to headline on its own, with Till being brought in at the expense of interim champion Colby Covington, who was only out for another couple of months.

So, the title has gone from seemingly being too weak to headline the card in Dallas, to headlining the prestigious Madison Square Garden card.

There is surely more to come from this bizarre series of events, with this fight not even being officially announced yet, and Diaz and Poirier continuing to be relatively puzzling on social media.

Khabib Nurmagomedov's long and tumultuous road to the UFC lightweight title

Summary


The story of Khabib Nurmagomedov having to wait four years for a title shot, despite being unbeaten and not ranked below #3 throughout that period.

Injuries, injuries and more injuries... and Conor McGregor.

January 2012-May 2013 - unranked


Nurmagomedov entered his UFC debut at 16-0 as he faced Kamal Shalorus in January of 2012, in Nashville.

The Russian won via 3rd round submission, before winning his next three fights against Gleison Tibau, Thiago Tavares and Abel Trujillo in generally dominant fashion.

September 21st 2013 - unranked


His reward was a chance to break into the UFC lightweight rankings for the first time, as he took on Pat Healy at UFC 163 in September of 2013, in Toronto.

Nurmagomedov beat Healy, ranked #10 at the time, via unanimous decision to force his way into the top ten.

January 2014 - ranked #7


Shooting up to number seven in the rankings, Khabib was set to face off with former Strikeforce champion and #2 ranked Gilbert Melendez at UFC 170, but the bout was soon scrapped.


April 19th 2014 - ranked #7


Two months later, the Dagestani did get another chance to shoot up the rankings as he faced future champion Rafael dos Anjos, ranked five at the time.

In a battle between #5 and #7, Nurmagomedov once again showed his domination as he crushed dos Anjos en route to another unanimous decision.

A tough two years followed for the Russian contender, as injuries plagued him.


July 2014 - ranked #3


A bout touted as a title eliminator with Donald Cerrone was targeted for UFC 178 in September of 2015, before it was cancelled after Nurmagomedov suffered a knee injury.

April 2015 - ranked #2


Following knee surgery, the matchup was once again set up as a title eliminator at UFC 187, before the Russian pulled out once again with another knee injury.

October 2015 - ranked #3


Plans were made for a bout with surging contender Tony Ferguson to headline the Ultimate Fighter Finale in December, but Khabib suffered a rib injury and was replaced by Edson Barboza.

April 16th 2016 - ranked #2


The UFC then rescheduled the bout for April of 2016 as the main event in Tampa, Florida.

However, injury struck again as this time 'El Cucuy' pulled out from the event, leaving the Russian seeking an opponent for his first fight in two years.

Promotional newcomer Darrell Horcher was that man, taking the fight at a 160lbs catchweight in a three round affair, with Dan Henderson and Rashad Evans the new main event.

A second round finish, his first in over three years and first in four fights, saw the Eagle back in the Octagon in devastating fashion.

November 12th 2016 - ranked #2


Coming into his first fight in two years ranked #2, the Dagestani then returned to action at the stacked UFC 205, taking on Michael Johnson.

However, after his winning return against Horcher, Khabib was set for a shot at then-champion Eddie Alvarez, before then-featherweight champion Conor McGregor stepped up instead on the same event, leaving Nurmagomedov on the prelims.

Following yet another dominant display, this time submitting Johnson via kimura midway through the third round, the unbeaten Russian called out McGregor with the famous "I want fight with your chicken" quote.

February 2017 - ranked #1


An interim lightweight championship title fight was announced for UFC 209, with Ferguson and Nurmagomedov slated for the third time, just four months after the Johnson win.

The weight cut got the better of Khabib, who was forced to go to hospital the day before weigh-ins, with the fight subsequently cancelled.

December 30th 2017 - ranked #2


It took until the end of December of 2017 for Nurmagomedov to return to action, facing Edson Barboza in the co-main event of UFC 219.

A decidedly one-sided affair saw the Eagle pick up a dominant unanimous decision win and one step closer to an elusive title fight.

April 7th 2018 - ranked #2


That title fight finally arrived four months later, but it would not be without some unbelievable drama.

Once again, Khabib and Ferguson, who was the interim champion, were slated to fight, this time for the title.

Once again, however, there was a pullout, this time El Cucuy falling foul of some loose wires and injuring his knee after tripping over them at a media day.

The scramble to replace Ferguson led to featherweight champion Max Holloway.

Holloway was then made to stop cutting weight by the commission and was taken off the card.

Anthony Pettis reportedly could not come to an agreement with the UFC and Paul Felder was not ranked high enough to compete for the title, according to the New York State Athletic Commission.

#11 ranked Al Iaquinta was then pulled from his fight with Felder to face Nurmagomedov for the title.

However, Iaquinta had already weighed in at 155.2lbs, thus making him ineligible to win the title.

The fight went ahead and Nurmagomedov eased his way to a dominant unanimous decision win and finally being crowned champion.


October 2018 - CHAMPION


From that crazy week in April, the Eagle will now defend his title for the first time in what may well be a similarly crazy build-up in what many are calling the biggest fight in UFC history - against Conor McGregor.

From winning the title in your first shot against a man ranked #11 to your first defence in one of the most anticipated fights in the history of the UFC, it's been a crazy ride for the Eagle.